기후변화가 농업생태계에 미치는 영향분석 벼 생산 취약성 평가방법론 연구
- Contents -
FOREWORD
Abstract
Chapter 1. Introduction
1. Background
2. Research scope and objectives
Chapter 2. Literature Review
1. Definition of vulnerability to climate change
2. Methodologies for vulnerability assessment
2.1 Assessment of overall vulnerability to climate change using proxy variables in many sectors
2.2 Assessment of agricultural vulnerability to climate change
2.3 Possible indicators to represent agricultural water status
2.3.1. OECD (2003)’s agri-environmental indicators
2.3.2 Drought index
2.3.3 Index to represent flood damage
2.3.4 A method to consider crop water demand and water availability
2.4 Case study of rice yield sensitivity in Korea
2.5 Case study of crop yield vulnerability to climate change
Chapter 3. Method and Tools
1. Study area
2. Climate change scenario
3. Simulation of rice yield by CERES-rice model
4. Rice production sensitivity to climate change
5. Adaptive Capacity (AC) in agricultural water status
5.1 Crop water demand
5.2 Water supply from reservoir data
5.3 Matching spatial scales of data sets for crop water demand and water supply
5.4 Calculating an adaptive capacity proxy variable for agricultural drought stress (ACDS indicator)
5.5 Calculating an adaptive capacity proxy variable based on flood damage costs (ACFD indicator)
6. Calculation of rice production vulnerability to climate change
Chapter 4. Results and Discussion
1.Rice production sensitivity
2. Adaptive capacity
2.1 Adaptive capacity for drought stress (ACDS) Index
2.1.1 Crop water demand
2.1.2 Agricultural water supply
2.1.3 ACDS indicator
2.2 Adaptive capacity for flood damage (ACFD) indicator
2.3 Adaptive capacity in agricultural water status (AC index)
3. Vulnerability index for rice production
4. Adaptation options
4.1. Adjustment of rice transplanting dates.
4.2. Other adaptation options
Chapter 5. Summary and Conclusions
References
Appendix I
Appendix II
Abstract in Korean
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