북한 탄소시장 잠재령 추정 연구

Abstract

On North Korean Carbon Market: Energy Sector This study shows that the size and potential of carbon market of North Korea(DPRK) in large sense because of limited information. In DPRK, Coal is dominant fuel, the proportion of electricity is relatively high, and electricity loss is significantly worse than South Korea. If they substitute coal by LNG or LPG which contains less carbon, 9million~1.5million tons of CO₂ reduction is possible. If They can reduce electricity loss as much as South Korea. Around 3million tons of CO₂ reduction expected. Carbon market is emerging, but it does not mean that carbon price and CDM businesses get better. Especially, Considering, North Korea's underdeveloped economic basis and uncertainty, it is dubious that there are profitable CDM businesses. However, it should not be neglected because there are constant supports for DPRK by South Korea for various reasons. Thus, combining CDM businesses to existing DPRK supports, the South Korea can get additional payoff though there are no profit in CDM businesses alone.