PAGE 모델을 이용한 기후변화의 피해 추정
Chapter 1. Introduction
1. Background and objective
2. Methodology framework
2.1 Methodology overview
2.2 The models
2.3 Uncertainty analysis
Chapter 2. Climate change in Korea
1. Climate change
1.1 The Observed Changes in the Climate system
1.1.1 Temperature
1.1.2 Precipitation
1.1.3 Extreme weather events
1.2 Projected changes in Climate System
1.2.1 Temperature
1.2.2 Precipitation
1.2.3 Extreme Events
1.2.4 Sea level
2. Korean Climate condition
2.1 Temperature
2.2 Change of Season
2.3 Change of precipitation
2.4 Long term trends of main climatic elements
2.5 Prospect and prediction of climate change
2.5.1 Long term trend prediction of Korea’s climate by A2 scenario
Chapter 3. Economic damage of climate change in Korea
1. Climate change impacts
1.1 Agriculture
1.2 Water resource
1.3 Human health
1.4 Energy
1.5 Forestry
1.6 Sea level rise
2. Climate change impacts in Korea
2.1 Agriculture
2.2 Water Resource
2.3 Human Health
2.4 Energy
2.5 Forestry
2.6 Sea level rise
3. Economic damage of climate change in Korea
3.1 Climate change impacts by sector
3.2 Aggregation of economic damage of climate change
3.3 Relative sensitivity to climate change in Korea
3.4 Economic damage function of climate change damage in Korea
Chapter 4. Model & Scenario
1. PAGE model
1.1 The PAGE2002 model
1.2 Parameter values in PAGE2002
1.2.1. Climate parameters
1.2.2 Impact parameters
1.3 Climate Results from PAGE2002 compared to the IPCC
2. Scenario
2.1 Assumption
2.2 Environmental Policies
3. Emission scenarios for PAGE modeling
Chapter 5. Economic impacts of climate change in Korea
1. Economic impacts depending on scenarios
1.1 A2 scenario
1.2 B1 scenario
1.3 Kyoto scenario
1.4 Climate change impacts in Korea
2. Climate change impacts depending on adaptation policy
3. Uncertainty analysis 140
Chapter 6. Conclusion and policy implication
References
Appendix 1: PAGE2002 Equations
Appendix 2: Summary of Stern review
국문요약 (Abstract in Korean)
Items in DSpace are protected by copyright, with all rights reserved, unless otherwise indicated.